Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Western Sydney Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
