Adelaide United
2 - 2
Melbourne City

Blackwood (60'), Ibusuki (84')
Caletti (12'), Juande (43')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nabbout (24'), MacLaren (66')
Jamieson (16'), Galloway (35'), Reis (58')
Reis (70')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.08%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 23.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
23.01%	21.91%	55.08%

Both teams to score 59.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.91%

39.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.58%

61.42%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67%

30.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49%

66.51%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.84%

14.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.16%

41.84%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 23.01%

Melbourne City 55.08%

Draw 21.9%

Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 5.98% 1-0 @ 5.12% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.01%	1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.9%	1-2 @ 9.79% 0-1 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-3 @ 5.35% 2-3 @ 3.81% 1-4 @ 3.12% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.33% Total : 55.08%