Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for AMGK had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an AMGK win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.