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AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Ain

Al-Ain win 3-1 on penalties
Ghareeb (45+5'), Essa (51' og.), Telles (72'), Ronaldo (118' pen.)
Castro (33'), Brozovic (45+8'), Mane (71'), Otavio (84'), Al Amri (100')
Yahya (98')
FT
(aet)
Rahimi (28', 45'), Al Shamsi (103')
Erik (32'), Al Baloushi (38'), Rahimi (85'), Juma (116'), Romero (118')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

We say: Al-Nassr 0-0 Al-Ain (Al-Ain advances 1-0 on aggregate)

As difficult as it is to bet against Ronaldo and his reputation for stepping up in big games, his side are in a slump at the moment and looking uncharacteristically impatient. On the other hand, Al-Ain have been cool under pressure in the knockout portion of this tournament, and as a team, we believe they are capable of frustrating Al-Nassr and throwing them off their game once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ain
45.28% (1.613 1.61) 23.57% (-0.312 -0.31) 31.14% (-1.299 -1.3)
Both teams to score 61.28% (0.517 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62% (0.938 0.94)40.38% (-0.934 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.958 0.96)62.76% (-0.955 -0.95)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (1.048 1.05)18.13% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9% (1.756 1.76)49.1% (-1.752 -1.75)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.328 -0.33)25.15% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.457 -0.46)59.86% (0.46 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 45.28%
    Al-Ain 31.15%
    Draw 23.56%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ain
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.131 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.135 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 45.28%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.338 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.277 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-3 Al Raed
Thursday, March 7 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-4 Al Hazem
Thursday, February 29 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 2-3 Al-Nassr
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha
Wednesday, February 21 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, February 17 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 2-1 Nasaf
Wednesday, February 21 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Nasaf 0-0 Al-Ain
Wednesday, February 14 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ahal 1-2 Al-Ain
Tuesday, December 5 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-3 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Fayha 2-3 Al-Ain
Tuesday, November 7 at 4pm in AFC Champions League


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