SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 72.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Ahal win it was 2-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ahal | Draw | Al-Ain |
12.06% ( 2.26) | 15.91% ( 1.04) | 72.04% ( -3.3) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 4.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.72% ( 1.66) | 30.29% ( -1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.47% ( 1.96) | 51.54% ( -1.96) |
| Ahal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 5.1) | 37.14% ( -5.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( 4.71) | 73.93% ( -4.71) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% ( -0.26) | 7.36% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.44% ( -0.7) | 26.57% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ahal | Draw | Al-Ain |
| 2-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.31)Other @ 1.85% Total : 12.06% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.67)0-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.91% | 0-2 @ 9.31% ( -1.18) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 8.09% ( -1.16)1-3 @ 8.02% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.79)0-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.84)1-4 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.53)0-5 @ 2.75% ( -0.49)1-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.32)2-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.15)0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.23)1-6 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 4% Total : 72.04% |
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