SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Al-Duhail win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Al-Nassr |
19.65% ( 0.92) | 20.48% ( 0.36) | 59.87% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 59.74% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.15% ( -0.24) | 36.85% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.97% ( -0.26) | 59.02% ( 0.26) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( 0.78) | 32.1% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% ( 0.88) | 68.58% ( -0.88) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( -0.42) | 12.02% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.52% ( -0.91) | 37.47% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.65% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.19)0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 3.24% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.23% Total : 59.87% |
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