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AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
A

Al-Ain
1 - 0
Al-Nassr

Rahimi (44')
Al Ahbabi (15'), Romero (45+6'), Essa (82'), Al Baloushi (83'), Al Shamsi (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yahya (66'), Al Nemer (76'), Al Amri (90+15')
Laporte (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al-Ain 2-1 Nasaf
Wednesday, February 21 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-4 Al Hazem
Thursday, February 29 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ain 1-1 Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr are a star-studded side consisting of players with a huge wealth of experience; they are also currently unbeaten in the AFC Champions League this season, making them one of the favorites. However, we think the hosts will hold their own here, which means the best the visitors should get is a draw ahead of the return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Al-AinDrawAl-Nassr
45.82% (0.417 0.42) 22.76% (0.172 0.17) 31.41% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 64.39% (-0.949 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.65% (-1.119 -1.12)36.35% (1.127 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.52% (-1.237 -1.24)58.48% (1.244 1.24)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.27600000000001 -0.28)16.35% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (-0.508 -0.51)45.95% (0.516 0.52)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.872 -0.87)23.02% (0.879 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-1.301 -1.3)56.84% (1.308 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ain 45.82%
    Al-Nassr 31.41%
    Draw 22.76%
Al-AinDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.311 0.31)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.225 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.76% (0.206 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.164 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Ain 2-1 Nasaf
Wednesday, February 21 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Nasaf 0-0 Al-Ain
Wednesday, February 14 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ahal 1-2 Al-Ain
Tuesday, December 5 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-3 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Fayha 2-3 Al-Ain
Tuesday, November 7 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 4-1 Al Fayha
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-4 Al Hazem
Thursday, February 29 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 2-3 Al-Nassr
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha
Wednesday, February 21 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, February 17 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-1 Al-Nassr
Wednesday, February 14 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Nassr
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1


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