Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
Result | ||
Al-Ain | Draw | Al-Nassr |
45.82% ( 0.42) | 22.76% ( 0.17) | 31.41% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 64.39% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.65% ( -1.12) | 36.35% ( 1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.52% ( -1.24) | 58.48% ( 1.24) |
Al-Ain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% ( -0.28) | 16.35% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.05% ( -0.51) | 45.95% ( 0.52) |
Al-Nassr Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% ( -0.87) | 23.02% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.16% ( -1.3) | 56.84% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Ain | Draw | Al-Nassr |
2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.56% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.41% |
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