SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ain | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent |
41.44% ( -0.67) | 25.57% ( -0.09) | 32.99% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( 0.61) | 48.81% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( 0.56) | 70.91% ( -0.56) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.06) | 23.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( -0.09) | 57.35% ( 0.08) |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.79) | 28.11% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( 0.99) | 63.78% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ain | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.99% |
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