Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
