Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BG Pathum United win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for United City had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a BG Pathum United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest United City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BG Pathum United would win this match.
