Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS |
Team | Goals against | Avg per game | Clean Sheets | |
1 | Perth Glory | 3 | 0.75 | 1 |
2 | Western Utd | 4 | 0.67 | 4 |
3 | Central Coast | 4 | 0.80 | 2 |
4 | Macarthur | 5 | 0.83 | 3 |
5 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1.00 | 2 |
6 | Adelaide United | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
7 | Melbourne City | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
8 | Western Sydney | 6 | 1.20 | 2 |
9 | Brisbane Roar | 6 | 1.50 | 1 |
10 | Victory | 7 | 1.17 | 2 |
11 | Newcastle Jets | 8 | 1.60 | 1 |
12 | Wellington | 10 | 2.00 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for United City had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a United City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | United City |
56.4% | 22.75% | 20.84% |
Both teams to score 53.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% | 45.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% | 67.9% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% | 15.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.75% | 45.24% |
United City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% | 35.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% | 72.73% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | United City |
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.66% 3-1 @ 6.05% 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.77% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.36% Total : 56.39% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.87% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.84% |
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