AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 11am UK
Sungui Arena Park
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Incheon United and Kaya.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaya win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Incheon United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaya win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Incheon United win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Incheon United | Draw | Kaya |
28.64% ( 0.41) | 23.49% ( -0.32) | 47.86% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( 1.45) |
| 58.56% ( 1.77) | 41.44% ( -1.77) |
| 36.16% ( 1.77) | 63.84% ( -1.77) |
| 72.7% ( 1.19) | 27.3% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.26% ( 1.52) | 62.74% ( -1.52) |
| 82.47% ( 0.65) | 17.53% ( -0.65) |
