Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Kaya win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
