SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Kaya win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kaya | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
29.77% ( -0.88) | 25.31% ( 0.05) | 44.91% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.07% ( -0.61) | 48.93% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.98% ( -0.55) | 71.02% ( 0.55) |
| Kaya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.92) | 30.32% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( -1.11) | 66.5% ( 1.11) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( 0.12) | 21.78% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.03% ( 0.19) | 54.97% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaya | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.91% |
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