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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Sungui Arena Park

Incheon United
0 - 2
Shandong


Mun (12'), Do-Hyuk (82'), Zheng (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Crysan (58'), Fellaini (87')
Lisheng (21'), Wenneng (53')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Incheon United and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Incheon United 4-0 Kaya
Tuesday, October 3 at 11am in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Changchun 0-3 Shandong
Friday, October 20 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Incheon United had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Incheon United win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Incheon UnitedDrawShandong Taishan
22.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.38% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 52.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.85% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.49% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)54.51% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.13% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)75.87% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Incheon United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)39.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)76.22% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)20.87% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)53.57% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Incheon United 22.34%
    Shandong Taishan 52.26%
    Draw 25.38%
Incheon UnitedDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.34%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.26%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Incheon United 4-0 Kaya
Tuesday, October 3 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-4 Incheon United
Tuesday, September 19 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Incheon United 3-1 Hai Phong
Tuesday, August 22 at 11.30am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Changchun 0-3 Shandong
Friday, October 20 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 0-1 Yokohama
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 2-1 Wuhan TT
Friday, September 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 0-0 Shandong
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Kaya 1-3 Shandong
Tuesday, September 19 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 4-2 Qingdao Jonoon
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League


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