SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 70.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.23%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Qingdao Jonoon win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
70.71% ( -5.37) | 18.34% ( 2.86) | 10.95% ( 2.51) |
| Both teams to score 45.04% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( -5.29) | 45.28% ( 5.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( -5.27) | 67.62% ( 5.27) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( -2.73) | 11.54% ( 2.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.53% ( -6.25) | 36.47% ( 6.25) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.92% ( 1.72) | 49.08% ( -1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.99% ( 1.19) | 84.01% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 2-0 @ 13.2% 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 1.36)3-0 @ 9.5% ( -1.19)2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.48)4-0 @ 5.13% ( -1.36)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.75)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.94)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.56)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.33% Total : 70.7% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 1.34) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 1.19)2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.34% | 0-1 @ 4.03% ( 1) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.6)0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.41)Other @ 2.38% Total : 10.95% |
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