SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.83%) and 1-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
52.33% ( -1.34) | 21.54% ( 0.43) | 26.12% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 64.83% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.92% ( -1.2) | 34.08% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.05% ( -1.37) | 55.95% ( 1.37) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.7% ( -0.81) | 13.31% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.86% ( -1.66) | 40.14% ( 1.67) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0) | 25.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( 0) | 59.96% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 26.12% |
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