SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
55.14% ( -0.08) | 22.56% ( 0.01) | 22.3% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.01) | 42.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( 0.01) | 65.33% ( -0.01) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0.02) | 15.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% ( -0.04) | 44.32% ( 0.04) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.91% ( 0.07) | 33.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.31% ( 0.07) | 69.68% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.3% |
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