SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Persepolis had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Persepolis win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Persepolis |
38.61% ( 0.21) | 26.9% ( -0.06) | 34.48% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( 0.23) | 54.1% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( 0.2) | 75.53% ( -0.19) |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0.23) | 27.29% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( 0.3) | 62.73% ( -0.3) |
| Persepolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( 0.02) | 29.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.17% ( 0.02) | 65.83% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Persepolis |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.48% |
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