Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
