SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Guangzhou City | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | Hebei | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Guangzhou | 2 | -7 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Wuhan | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wuhan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Wuhan |
27.07% ( 1.71) | 26.59% ( -0.17) | 46.33% ( -1.54) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( 1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% ( 1.67) | 55.47% ( -1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% ( 1.35) | 76.66% ( -1.35) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( 2.38) | 35.81% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( 2.36) | 72.59% ( -2.36) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% | 23.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( -0) | 58.12% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Wuhan |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.19)Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.81) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.58)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.33% |
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