Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wuhan in this match.

Result
Guangzhou	Draw	Wuhan
27.07% ( 1.71)	26.59% ( -0.17)	46.33% ( -1.54)

Both teams to score 48.84% (

1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.53% (

1.67)

55.47% (

-1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.34% (

1.35)

76.66% (

-1.35)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.19% (

2.38)

35.81% (

-2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.41% (

2.36)

72.59% (

-2.36)

Wuhan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09%

23.91% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.88% (

-0)

58.12% (

Score Analysis

Guangzhou 27.07%

Wuhan 46.33%

Draw 26.59%

Guangzhou	Draw	Wuhan
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.19) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.07%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.57) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.29) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.81) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.33%