SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Guangzhou City | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | Hebei | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Guangzhou | 2 | -7 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shenzhen | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Wuhan | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 72.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.87%) and 0-3 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
10.64% ( 0.15) | 17.26% ( 0.34) | 72.1% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -1.15) | 41.23% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( -1.18) | 63.62% ( 1.18) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.47) | 47.03% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.49% ( -0.36) | 82.5% ( 0.36) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.92% ( -0.42) | 10.08% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.79% ( -0.97) | 33.21% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 10.64% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 17.26% | 0-2 @ 12.47% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.36)0-3 @ 9.55% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.2% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 5.48% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 4.13% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 2.51% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)0-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.33% Total : 72.08% |
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