Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Chiangrai United had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Chiangrai United win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kitchee in this match.
