Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Western Sydney Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
57.4% (![]() | 21.31% (![]() | 21.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.54% (![]() | 38.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.25% (![]() | 60.75% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.76% (![]() | 13.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.99% (![]() | 40% (![]() |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% (![]() | 31.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.12% (![]() | 67.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.85% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 57.4% | 1-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 5.63% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 21.29% |
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