Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
53.52% (![]() | 22.06% (![]() | 24.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.76% (![]() | 38.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.48% (![]() | 60.52% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.63% (![]() | 14.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.75% (![]() | 42.25% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% (![]() | 28.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% (![]() | 64.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 9.69% (![]() 1-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.52% | 1-1 @ 9.99% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.23% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.39% Total : 24.43% |
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