Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BG Pathum United win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for United City had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a BG Pathum United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest United City win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BG Pathum United would win this match.
