SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shanghai Port |
18.21% ( 0.04) | 24.82% ( 0.03) | 56.96% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.02% ( -0.05) | 56.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% ( -0.04) | 77.88% ( 0.04) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.54% ( 0.02) | 45.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.7% ( 0.02) | 81.3% ( -0.01) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% ( -0.04) | 19.96% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.87% ( -0.07) | 52.13% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 14.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.78% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 56.96% |
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