Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.07) 
