SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 77.22%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 8.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
77.22% ( 0.69) | 14.36% ( -0.33) | 8.43% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.37) | 34.28% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.81% ( 0.41) | 56.18% ( -0.41) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.76% ( 0.23) | 7.24% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.75% ( 0.58) | 26.25% ( -0.58) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.53) | 46.82% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.64% ( -0.41) | 82.36% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 77.21% | 1-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.85% Total : 14.36% | 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 8.43% |
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