SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
64.24% ( -0.74) | 21.53% ( 0.42) | 14.22% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 44.75% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( -1.01) | 51% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( -0.89) | 72.86% ( 0.89) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( -0.56) | 15.21% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.15% ( -1.08) | 43.85% ( 1.08) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.78% ( -0.13) | 47.21% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.35% ( -0.09) | 82.65% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.05% Total : 64.24% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.22% |
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