Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.
