Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.
