Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.