Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sagan Tosu in this match.
