SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.07%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benin | Draw | Rwanda |
61.54% ( 4.08) | 26% ( -2.07) | 12.46% ( -2.01) |
| Both teams to score 30.69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.09% ( 2.6) | 67.91% ( -2.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.13% ( 1.68) | 85.87% ( -1.68) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( 2.95) | 22.63% ( -2.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.74% ( 4.2) | 56.26% ( -4.2) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.67% ( -1.57) | 60.33% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.18% ( -0.82) | 90.81% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benin | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 20.28% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 15.07% ( 1.11)2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 1.12)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.4)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.61)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 61.53% | 0-0 @ 13.65% ( -1.38) 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.64)2-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -1.09) 1-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.38)Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.46% |
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