SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 40.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 29.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Rwanda |
40.14% ( 0.01) | 30.65% ( 0) | 29.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.01) | 67.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.24% ( -0) | 85.77% ( 0) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0) | 33.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% | 69.8% ( 0) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( -0.01) | 40.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.54% ( -0.01) | 77.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Libya | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.14% | 0-0 @ 13.57% 1-1 @ 13.38% 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.64% | 0-1 @ 12.13% 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.29% Total : 29.21% |
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