SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Mauritania |
52.21% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( 0) | 22.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.41% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% ( -0.02) | 56.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% ( -0.01) | 77.25% ( 0.02) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( -0) | 21.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( -0) | 54.68% ( 0) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( -0.02) | 40.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.62% ( -0.02) | 77.38% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gabon | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.2% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 22.02% |
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