Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gabon in this match.
Result | ||
Gabon | Draw | Sudan |
52.41% ( 0.08) | 28.54% ( 0.03) | 19.05% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 36.28% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.61% ( -0.16) | 67.39% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.47% ( -0.11) | 85.53% ( 0.11) |
Gabon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( -0.04) | 26.42% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( -0.05) | 61.59% ( 0.05) |
Sudan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.3% ( -0.22) | 50.7% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.87% ( -0.15) | 85.14% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Gabon | Draw | Sudan |
1-0 @ 17.82% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 52.4% | 0-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.08) 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.05% |
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