SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Gabon |
47.13% ( -0.03) | 24.61% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( 0.1) | 46.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.09) | 69.01% ( -0.09) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( 0.03) | 19.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.96% ( 0.04) | 52.04% ( -0.04) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( 0.09) | 30.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( 0.1) | 66.47% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.25% |
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