Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Gabon win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Egypt in this match.