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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
GN

Egypt
2 - 1
Gabon

Magdi (4' pen.), Obiang (75' og.)
Hegazy (28'), Hamdi (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Allevinah (54')
Ameka (25'), Moucketou-Moussounda (62'), Bouanga (85')
Bouanga (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Gabon win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Egypt in this match.

Result
EgyptDrawGabon
60.8%21.01%18.19%
Both teams to score 55.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.3%41.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9%64.1%
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73%13.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.94%40.06%
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5%36.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71%73.29%
Score Analysis
    Egypt 60.8%
    Gabon 18.19%
    Draw 21.01%
EgyptDrawGabon
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.78%
3-1 @ 6.7%
3-0 @ 6.65%
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 60.8%
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 5.02%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 4.97%
0-1 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 18.19%

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