SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Sudan win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Sudan |
47.56% ( -0.06) | 25.78% ( -0.01) | 26.65% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( 0.1) | 52.63% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 0.08) | 74.27% ( -0.09) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( 0.01) | 22.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% ( 0.02) | 55.5% ( -0.03) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( 0.11) | 34.62% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% ( 0.11) | 71.35% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
