Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
Result | ||
Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Mozambique |
31.16% (![]() | 29.45% (![]() | 39.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.24% (![]() | 63.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.99% (![]() | 83.01% (![]() |
Guinea-Bissau Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% (![]() | 37.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.11% (![]() | 73.89% (![]() |
Mozambique Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% (![]() | 31.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% (![]() | 67.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Mozambique |
1-0 @ 11.6% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 13.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.7% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.43% | 0-1 @ 13.5% (![]() 0-2 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.38% |
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