SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%).
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
36.53% ( -0.32) | 30.23% ( 0.32) | 33.24% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.11% ( -0.97) | 65.89% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.49% ( -0.67) | 84.51% ( 0.67) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( -0.73) | 34.48% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( -0.78) | 71.19% ( 0.78) |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( -0.54) | 36.75% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( -0.54) | 73.54% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.53% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.22% | 0-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.87% Total : 33.23% |
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