SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 31.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 1-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (13.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Namibia |
32.3% ( 0.07) | 31.79% ( -0.01) | 35.91% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 37.59% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.66% ( 0.03) | 70.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.55% ( 0.02) | 87.45% ( -0.02) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.02% ( 0.07) | 39.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.37% ( 0.06) | 76.63% ( -0.06) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% ( -0.03) | 37.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% ( -0.03) | 74.16% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 32.3% | 0-0 @ 14.94% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.79% | 0-1 @ 14.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 35.9% |
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