SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kenya win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw has a probability of 25.1% and a win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Zimbabwe win it is 1-0 (7.49%).
| Result | ||
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Kenya |
21.88% ( -2) | 25.15% ( -0.71) | 52.98% ( 2.71) |
| Both teams to score 47.95% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.91% ( 0.83) | 54.09% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( 0.69) | 75.51% ( -0.69) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -1.46) | 39.75% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( -1.37) | 76.42% ( 1.37) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( 1.47) | 20.41% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.15% ( 2.29) | 52.85% ( -2.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.88% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 0.57)1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.53)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.58% Total : 52.97% |
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