SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Kenya |
21.85% ( 0.72) | 25.21% ( 0.62) | 52.94% ( -1.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( -1.6) | 54.33% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( -1.35) | 75.71% ( 1.35) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.08% ( -0.17) | 39.92% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.42% ( -0.16) | 76.57% ( 0.16) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( -1.16) | 20.52% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( -1.87) | 53.02% ( 1.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.85% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.55% Total : 52.94% |
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