SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%).
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Namibia |
44.1% ( 0.01) | 27.91% ( 0) | 27.99% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.3% ( -0) | 59.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.99% ( -0) | 80.01% ( 0.01) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0) | 26.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% ( 0.01) | 62.26% ( -0) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( -0.01) | 37.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.85% ( -0.01) | 74.15% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.52% 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.99% |
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