SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Sudan win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Sudan |
| 47.69% | 23.15% | 29.15% |
| Both teams to score 61.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.49% | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.15% | 61.84% |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% | 16.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.13% | 46.86% |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% | 25.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% | 60.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Sudan |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 4.22% Total : 47.69% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.15% |
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