SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Zimbabwe |
64.15% ( 0.13) | 22.56% ( 0.29) | 13.29% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 39.75% ( -1.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.48% ( -1.8) | 56.52% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.49% ( -1.47) | 77.51% ( 1.47) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.59) | 17.14% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.63% ( -1.05) | 47.37% ( 1.05) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.97% ( -1.76) | 52.03% ( 1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.98% ( -1.18) | 86.02% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 1-0 @ 15.72% ( 0.76) 2-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.14% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.2% Total : 13.29% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
