SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Eswatini |
67.9% ( 0.21) | 22.32% ( -0.03) | 9.77% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 31.2% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.62% ( -0.27) | 62.37% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.99% ( -0.2) | 82.01% ( 0.2) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.02) | 17.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% ( -0.04) | 48.78% ( 0.04) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.02% ( -0.54) | 61.97% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.37% ( -0.26) | 91.62% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 19.1% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 16.4% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 67.89% | 0-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 9.77% |
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