After a shaky run in the group stages, Tunisia will head into the quarter-finals with renewed confidence following their victory over Nigeria. While we expect Burkina Faso to put up a fight, the North African boast a more experienced crop of players and we are tipping them to carry on the momentum from their performance against the Super Eagles and come out victorious on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.
