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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
TN

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Tunisia

Ganet (84')
Siafa (35'), Coco (45+2'), Anieboh (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sassi (29'), Kechrida (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawTunisia
40.71%27.76%31.53%
Both teams to score 47.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36%78.63%
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08%27.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45%63.54%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29%33.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64%70.36%
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 40.7%
    Tunisia 31.52%
    Draw 27.75%
Equatorial GuineaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.52%

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